Your risk scores
What are you actually measuring?
Three things, scored separately, and each one scored twice: once for today, once for 2035.
How reliable the grid serving that location has been, and how tight it is projected to be by 2035.
A high score is about staying open.
What you pay for electricity compared with other utilities, and the pressure on that price going forward.
A high score is about what you pay.
How much carbon comes with each unit of electricity there today, and where that is projected to go.
A high score is about the carbon that comes with generating your electricity.
On every one of them, a higher score means more exposure.
Why three scores instead of one?
Because the impact on your business is different for each one, and so is the response.
A supply problem is about staying open. A price problem is about what you pay. A carbon problem is about the carbon that comes with generating your electricity.
We never average them together. Where a single level is shown for a location, it is the worst of the three, so a serious problem never hides behind two comfortable ones.
What do the risk bands mean?
Every score falls into one of five bands. The same bands apply across Supply, Price and Carbon Intensity, and to both the Current and 2035 scores. A High on one pillar means the same thing as a High on another.
Low means less exposed than most locations in our reference set. It does not mean risk free.
High means more exposed than most. It is not a guarantee that something will happen.
Is a score a measurement of my location?
No. It is a ranking.
Every score places that location against the same national reference, so the number tells you how exposed it is relative to everywhere else. It is not an absolute amount of risk.
That is what makes it useful in two directions: comparing your own locations against each other, and checking somewhere you are thinking of expanding to before you commit to it.
Are you telling me about today, or about the future?
Both, and separately.
Every location gets a score for today and a score for 2035. They are two genuine readings from two different sets of data. The 2035 score is not today's score with an adjustment applied to it.
Reading them together is the point.
What does the score not consider?
Anything inside the facility itself.
Use the score to decide where to focus your attention and your investment. For the facility itself, your own knowledge is better than ours.
Where do your numbers come from?
We bring together a range of public and private data sources, and combine those data layers with our own methodology to make the information actionable.
Every dataset behind your results, and where it came from, is listed in the product.
Show the list of datasets with their sources, so people can see this is a real, named list rather than a promise. One screenshot of the full list is enough.
static/img/energy/underlying-data.pngCan I change how the score is calculated?
No, and that is on purpose.
Everyone is scored the same way. That is what lets you compare two of your own locations fairly, and compare your portfolio with anyone else's.
Where to go next
Found a location worth acting on? Read Build a business case.